No Rest For The Wet

October 27, 2009

This is pure insanity! Will it ever stop raining? Even a trip 700 miles north couldn’t get me out of the rain! It looks like a short break is on tap, and I mean very short. Beyond that, a very strong storm system complete with severe weather and silly heavy rain lurks in our near future. The not so fun details………… are right here.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with drizzle and light rain through early afternoon. Then a few peeks of sun may show up. Highs will be in the middle 60s with northwesterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy early with dense fog developing after midnight. Lows will be in the upper 40s.

Wednesday: Patchy dense fog early with partial clearing by afternoon. Highs will be in the middle to upper 70s.

Wednesday Night: Increasing clouds with rain chances increasing to 70% after midnight. Lows will be in the upper 60s late in the evening with temperatures rising to the middle 70s by morning. Heavy rain is possible.

Thursday: Heavy rain and thunderstorms are possible through the day. Highs will be near 80 with gusty southeasterly wind. A few storms could be severe with heavy rain being the most pressing threat (for now). If it we end up with a bit more instability there could be some fairly widespread severe weather.

Thursday Night: Rain and thunderstorms will continue with heavy rain and severe weather possible. Lows will be near 70.

Friday: Rain will end in the afternoon with 2-5 inches likely for the whole storm. Isolated places could exceed ten inches as this system will be a slow mover. Temperatures will fall to around 60 by Friday afternoon as the cold front rolls through.

Saturday and Sunday: Clearing and finally dry! Highs will be in the middle 70s with lows in the middle to upper 40s.

Significant Weather Statement: I’ve hit on this above, but with so much water already in place across the area, flooding will be likely with our late week rain. The way this system will set up, someone will end up with a prolonged period of heavy rain and potential severe weather. Right now the highest threat for excessive rain appears to be along and west of a Monroe to Alexandria to Sulphur line. Models are quite consistent in painting average rain totals in the 4-8 inch range along and west of that line. Severe weather parameters look significant as well, and if we see any instability with this system the possibility will be there for damaging wind and a few tornadoes. Whew. Lots to digest in this forecast. I’ll update you tomorrow on this situation. It’s going to be a big one!

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