Another Nice One!

September 30, 2009

As I type this, it is 54 degrees at Esler Field, and 55 at the airport. This is the little hint of fall I’ve been waiting for! The A.C is officially getting a break at the Mikulas household. Not much has changed since yesterday. A pretty decent round of storms is still on tap for tomorrow night. Here are the details.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and pleasant once again. Highs will be in the low 80s with light wind turning to the southeast around 5-10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy and a bit warmer. Lows will be near 60.

Thursday: Becoming mostly cloudy with a 20% chance for an afternoon thunderstorm. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Friday: Mostly cloudy early with a 40% chance for morning thunderstorms. Skies will become partly cloudy by afternoon. Highs will be near 80.

Saturday through Tuesday: Saturday looks dry and nice. After that, moisture will quickly return giving us a shot at a few showers as soon as late Sunday. Right now, I’ll go with a 30% chance for showers late on Sunday, and pull that rain chance up to 40% for Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will start off chilly Saturday and Sunday morning. Lows will be in the lower to middle 50s. Monday and Tuesday will bring back middle 60s to near 70 for lows. Highs will be in the lower 80s from Saturday through Monday, with a bump back up into the middle 80s by Tuesday.

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OK, So That Was Nice

September 29, 2009

The official thermometer reading was 63 degrees as of 7:00 A.M today. It felt like fifty after I cut the grass in the midday heat and humidity of Monday! As is typical of late September and October, we’ll see a lot of up and down over the next few weeks. Each time an up meets a down, we’ll likely see some storms. Our first round should wake you up sometime late Thursday night.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and quite nice. The humidity will be MUCH lower today! Highs will be in the lower 80s with northeasterly wind around 5-15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear and almost chilly! Lows will be in the middle 50s.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and still looking good. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear and a touch warmer. Lows will be near 60.

Thursday: Becoming partly cloudy and a bit more humid. Highs will be in the middle 80s.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for thunderstorms….. most likely after midnight. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Friday through Monday: Morning storms should give way to sunshine and another small cooldown on Friday. Saturday looks dry right now with moisture briefly being shoved to the south and east of us. Sunday and Monday the moisture will return. I’ll go with a 20% chance for a shower Sunday, with a 40% chance on Monday. Lows will climb from the cool mid 50s on Saturday morning back to the upper 60s for Sunday and Monday morning. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s each day.

So the incessant heat of summer seems to be on the wane. The storm that will bring us rain on Thursday night could end up to be a prolific severe weather maker to our north. We could see a few severe storms in our area, but most of that action will stay north of Shreveport. If there weren’t so many shirts to print, I’d be itching to dust off my storm chasing helmet, and head northwest to Oklahoma!

We’ll have to wait a few days on the threat of strong storms, but cool mornings look like they’ll show up as soon as tomorrow. It looks like widespread “open the window” weather will be here by Wednesday morning. Here are the comfy details!

Monday: Partly sunny with a slight chance for a shower. Highs will be near 90 with wind turning from the west to the northwest at 5-10 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear and cooler. Lows will be in the upper 50s to near 60. Wind will be from the north around 5 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with lower humidity. Highs will be in the lower 80s.

Tuesday Night: Nice and almost chilly! Lows will be in the lower to middle 50s.

Wednesday: Mostly clear. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s.

Thursday through Sunday: Thursday will most likely be dry and close to normal for this time of year. Lows will be in the lower 60s with highs near 85. Friday is the day that could bring some storms. Some could be rather strong, though the worst will stay to our north. Highs will be in the lower 80s Friday after a start in the upper 60s. I’ll put rain chances at 60% for Friday. Saturday and Sunday are a tricky forecast right now. The front will slow a great deal as it passes us, but I will lean toward a stronger front, thus lower rain chances for Saturday and Sunday. I’ll go with a 20% chance for rain Saturday and Sunday with highs in the lower 80s, and lows in the upper 50s. Stay tuned on the weekend forecast. Things could change in the next couple of days.

Nick

Borecast

September 26, 2009

This is the kind of forecast that almost bores me to write. There aren’t any huge systems on the way, no cool downs to help usher fall into the area, and no hurricanes to watch. That last part of the statement has me just fine with being bored. Here’s your weekend borecast.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and mild. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s with northerly wind around 5-10 mph. There is a 40% chance for showers today.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy and a bit cooler. Lows will be in the middle to upper 60s.

Sunday: Partly sunny with highs in the upper 80s to near 90.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy and pleasant. Lows will be in the middle to upper 60s.

Monday: Partly sunny and fairly toasty. Highs will be near 90.

Tuesday through Friday: Again, it looks like things will stay mainly quiet for the duration. There could be some storms rolling this way by Friday, and I will pop a 30% chance for storms into the forecast for Friday. Highs will range from 83-87, and lows will be from 62-67. We can thank our small cool down to a Monday night cold front that will at least take the edge of the humidity we’ve been dealing with.

Here’s to us getting a little sunshine! It should be here tomorrow!

Is This Seattle?

September 25, 2009

Seriously! The clouds have been ruling our area for several days now, and it looks like at least a couple more are on the way. Here’s your oddly out of place forecast.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers. Highs will be in the lower 80s with northerly wind around 5-10 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for a shower. Lows will be near 70.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers. Highs will be in the middle 80s.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy and a bit cooler. Lows will be in the middle 60s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy and a bit warmer. Highs will be near 90.

Monday through Thursday: Partly sunny and mostly dry conditions should prevail. The only exception may be a few showers late Thursday, but it’s way too early to time that yet. Highs will range from 85-90, and lows will generally be from 62-68 each morning.

Enjoy your Friday!

A Tiny Taste of Fall

September 24, 2009

I’m not big on jumping on one model trend, but I like this trend toward cooler weather, so I’m at least going to acknowledge it. I’m sure you’ve picked up on this, but I’m a huge cold weather fan. If I could pick anywhere to live and base it solely on weather it would be the southern prairies of Canada, North Dakota, Minnesota, or the lake effect belts of Michigan. The only reason I wouldn’t give a slam dunk victory to Michigan is their lack of severe weather in the spring and summer. I need fun all year long! Now onto your snowless, severe-less, and mostly fall-less forecast.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy once again with a 60% chance for showers. The rain shouldn’t last terribly long if you get it, but it will be another dreary start today. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s with northerly wind around 5-10 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for showers. Lows will be in the upper 60s to near 70.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers. Highs will be in the middle 80s.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with a 30% chance for showers. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Sunday through Wednesday: We’ll see more sunshine, and I’ll keep rain chances very low. Like less than 10% at this point. It looks like cooler air will make at least somewhat of an appearance, and that will drive lows down to the lower 60s through most of the period. We may get lucky and see some 50s. Highs will fall from the upper 80s back to the lower to middle 80s, only with much less humidity. As October nears, expect these cold fronts to get stronger and stronger. Within a few weeks, I think we’ll see lows dip into the 40s. That’s exactly what I’ve been waiting for!

Nick

A Somewhat Tricky Forecast

September 23, 2009

Things have changed a bit more than I’d expected in the last 24 hours. The front that was going to hang up over the area has pushed a bit further east than originally expected. This doesn’t mean we will be free of the rain….. or the clouds for that matter. It does mean that our rain should be a bit lighter than it could have been had we kept the front around to concentrate that heavier stuff in our area. Here’s how it breaks down, from a man with lots of shirts to print, and a cat on his shoulder.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and dreary. There is a 70% chance for showers and a few thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s with light northerly wind around 5-10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for showers. Lows will be in the upper 60s to near 70.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance for showers and a few thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle 80s.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for showers. Lows will be in the upper 60s to near 70.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Saturday through Wednesday: There could be a few showers hanging around on Saturday, but beyond that I’ll keep rain chances below 20% each day. There’s not a big cool down on tap just yet, but I do think lows will fall into the middle 60s each night. Highs will stay up in the middle to upper 80s.

Have a great rest of the week!

Storms Popping Already

September 22, 2009

It looks like a wet day for most in the area today. I think almost everyone will end up seeing measurable rain. There’s plenty of moisture, a front to help focus the rainfall, and to be honest, the rain is already developing….. so I’m not really going out on a limb to say that it will rain. s4qqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqj`

I will leave that jumble of letters in this forecast. That’s what happens when your new ten week old kitten tries to type on your laptop as you go and empty the rain gauge. Here’s the forecast. If it’s wrong, I’ll blame it on the kitten.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with off and on rain and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower 80s with southerly wind around 5-10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 40% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Friday through Monday: Things should slowly begin to dry out starting Friday. I’ll bring rain chances down from 30% on Friday to near 0% by next Monday. The front will push through the area but only bring slightly cooler air. I’ll keep highs in the 85-90 degree range throughout the forecast period with lows falling from near 70 to the middle 60s. There will be a nice little drop off in humidity by Sunday or Monday, but true fall-like weather will stay away for now.

The Rain Comes Marching In

September 21, 2009

I’d like to interrupt this forecast to state the obvious. Drew Brees is good. Thank God the Saints give this St. Louis kid something to watch! 9 TD’s in 2 games is pure insanity. Here’s to keeping that pace up for the rest of the year! Forecast-wise, things aren’t looking as promising as the Saints are. We are dealing with another prolonged bout of upper level energy lingering around the area. That means rain, and possibly a good bit of it. Here’s how it breaks down day by day.

Monday: Mostly cloudy and humid with a 40% chance for showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be near 90 with southerly wind around 5-10 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Tuesday: Rain and thunderstorms will become likely in the afternoon. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Thursday through Sunday: Our cut off upper level system to the north will finally move out late this weekend. Highs each day through the period will be from 85-90, with lows around 70. Rain chances will be around 50% for Thursday and Friday, and will drop off to 20-30% on Saturday and Sunday. Sunday may end up being totally dry! Personally, I like a good gray Sunday during football season. It doesn’t look like this will be my kind of Sunday! Have a great week!

Nick

A few days ago it looked like some of the newly developing colder air in Canada could at least make a bit of a push into our area. Right now it looks like that front will hang up overhead and bring us more chances for rain. I actually think it will end up more widespread than what we saw for most of last week. Heck, we may even see a severe storm or two on Tuesday. Here’s your workweek forecast!

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 40% chance for afternoon thunderstorms. Highs will be near 90 with southwesterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy and muggy. Lows will be in the lower 70s. Some patchy fog could form toward morning.

Monday: Partly sunny with a 40% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be near 90.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Wednesday through Sunday: It really looks like more of the same. Rain chances will be in the 40-50% range each day as the cold front slows to a crawl right over top of us. That will help focus thunderstorms in our area each afternoon. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s each day depending on how much cloud cover we see. Lows will generally be within a couple of degrees of 70. No real big cool down on the horizon, but you have to figure it’s coming soon!

Nick