More Summer……. and More Tropics

August 11, 2009

We really had some beautiful cloud formations in the area yesterday, but the Mikulas house again came up empty in the rain department. This morning brings us our second tropical depression out in the Atlantic, and another area of interest closer to home. Here’s your forecast and tropical update!

Tuesday: Partly sunny with a 50% chance for thunderstorms. Again, it’s one of those hit and miss days, but gusty wind and heavy rain will be likely in stronger storms. Highs will be in the middle 90s, with southerly wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy and mild. Lows will be in the mid 70s. There is a 30% chance for some overnight storms tonight.

Wednesday: Partly sunny with a 40% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 90s.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy and a slight, teeny tiny bit cooler. Lows will be around 70-72.

Thursday: Partly sunny with a lower rain chance around 30%. Highs will be in the middle 90s.

Friday through Monday: Rain chances will be fairly low Friday and Saturday around 20-30%. However, the stalled cold front to our south will begin to interact with a tropical wave in the northern Gulf late Saturday into Sunday. This will cause rain chances to bump up to the 40-50% range for Sunday and Monday and this may need to be raised if we see any development of this system. Highs will generally be in the 92-95 degree range, but may be cooler if we see development of anything tropical in the gulf. Here are some more details on the tropics.

Tropical update: This morning we have tropical depression #2 out in the Atlantic. It’s located 280 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, and at this point shouldn’t be a threat to the U.S. I’ll keep an eye peeled just in case. Regardless, this system is way far away, and if by some freak of nature continued on a westerly track, it wouldn’t be an issue for a couple of weeks. The more pressing concern is the much more weakly organized clusters of storms nearer to the Lesser Antilles. This area could merge, or one of the waves could become more dominant in the next two days. The system will continue to roll toward the Gulf as this happens, and will encounter more favorable conditions for development. The models don’t go hog wild with this system just yet, but do bring it into our area around Sunday. I wouldn’t expect development until Friday or Saturday if at all, so an intense system doesn’t appear likely. With that being said, it’s the closest I’ve been watching an area all year. It’s nothing to worry about by any stretch, but something to pop in to this blog and check on as I’ll have daily updates. They’ll become more frequent if things start to get goofy. The bottom line is no big deal now, probably not a big deal later, but if the chance was 1% yesterday, it’s 1.5% today that we’ll have something to watch closely this weekend.



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