More Scattered Rain…. With an Eye on the Tropics

August 10, 2009

It’s looking like tropical season is finally ready to get busy. We have a couple areas of interest right now. One is near 45 degrees longitude and is very weak. Models indicate this wave coming close to us this weekend, but so far indicate only weak development if any. It should get rain chances to start climbing by Saturday or Sunday. The other, more significant area of potential development is near the Cape Verde Islands off the coast of Africa. This system will likely develop, but should stay over the open water of the Atlantic. The models indicate more potential development beyond that, so I’ll keep my eyes open. A quick side note of little interest to anyone is that the second system of the season will be Bill. 6 years ago, we had a tropical storm Bill hit near Houma. So, if the storm near Africa develops and gets a name, and the wave moving into the Gulf this weekend develops, we *could* see another Bill hitting Louisiana! Yeah, I’ll give that about a 1% chance of happening at this point. Onto more pertinent forecast rumblings and stumblings.

Monday: There is a 60% chance for afternoon thunderstorms today. Look for the usual, gusty wind, lots of thunder, and brief heavy rain. The best window for rain is 1:00 – 5:00 P.M. Highs will be in the middle 90s, with southerly wind around 5-10 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy and muggy. Lows will be in the middle 70s.

Tuesday: Partly sunny with a 40% chance for afternoon thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle 90s.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy with a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the lower to middle 70s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a 50% chance for thunderstorms.

Thursday through Friday: There should be a 40-50% chance for thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon with highs in the lower to middle 90s. Nights will see a few storms, with lows in the mid 70s.

Saturday and Sunday: Of course I’ll be watching the tropics, but at this point will be doing so with little worry. At this point I’ll go with a 50% chance of thunderstorms each day with highs in the lower 90s. Regardless of if this storm develops or not, the tropical wave that has a very slim chance of doing anything should bring some more rain.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: