Workweek Forecast

August 31, 2009

The area of thunderstorms over the Western Atlantic looks like it is trying to get organized this morning. It still has an uphill battle to fight due to wind shear issues, but I do think this storm will develop in the next couple of days. The track forecast is still a crapshoot, but I only give this a very small chance of being a Gulf of Mexico problem. It looks like it should stay east of us, but is certainly worth keeping an eye on. Now onto more pleasant issues……… like 50s for lows!

Monday: Mostly sunny and gorgeous. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s, with northeast wind around 5-15 mph.

Monday Night: Clear and cool. Lows will be near 60 with light northerly wind.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with low humidity. Highs will be in the upper 80s.

Tuesday Night: Clear and cool once again! Lows will be in the upper 50s to near 60.

Wednesday: Mostly clear with highs in the upper 80s.

Thursday through Sunday: Things start off nicely. I’ll keep rain chances out Thursday and Friday and reintroduce them at 30% for both Saturday and Sunday as a system passes us to the north. Highs will be from 88-91 each day with humidity increasing by the weekend. The lows will start in the lower 60s Thursday morning and will rise back to 68-70 by the weekend. Enjoy this week’s weather!

Nick

Good Sunday morning everyone! I’m tired. I don’t know why, but Lily decided to wake daddy up today, and she decided the earlier the better. It must be the morning of early surprises, because the National Hurricane Center has really started to key in on an area about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles for some possible tropical development. This system does look much better than it did 24 hours ago and could be primed to pop over the next two days or so. Track and intensity models are all over the place. Some pull this system north while some bend it back toward the Caribbean. Some make this a hurricane in 3-4 days while others dissipate it totally in the next 24 hours. Right now I think it will develop, but the track is not much more than an educated guess. I’ll say whatever it is will likely end up somewhere around or just north of Puerto Rico in 4-5 days. It’s about as vague as I can be I guess, but this thing is tricky at best when it comes to forecasting. There is a fairly significant mid level ridge to the north of it right now, and that should continue to shove this system toward the west or west northwest over the next few days. We’ll revisit this one tomorrow and hopefully have a little better idea of what to expect. I doubt we’ll have a really good handle on this one for several days.

Here’s your work week forecast!

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s with northerly wind around 5-15 mph. Some storm could produce strong wind gusts.

Sunday Night: Decreasing clouds and a bit cooler. Lows will be in the middle 60s.

Monday: Mostly sunny and very nice. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s with low humidity!

Monday Night: Clear and a bit cooler. Lows will be near 60.

Tuesday: Mostly clear and nice once again. Highs will be in the upper 80s to near 90 with low humidity.

Wednesday through Saturday: It looks mostly dry and nice through the week. Highs will range from 89-92 with comfortable humidity levels. Lows will be in the 60-65 range throughout the period as well. The only small chance for rain will come toward the weekend, but at this point I’m going to leave the forecast fairly dry.

Nick

Weekend Forecast

August 29, 2009

Four years ago today, Hurricane Katrina changed the Gulf Coast forever. I remember coming home from Alabama the day before Katrina. I showed up at the station and they asked me if I would even want to go to New Orleans to cover this beast. I flatly said “no”. Just knowing the legend of what could happen to that below sea level city was enough to keep me away. Maybe that means I wasn’t meant to be in TV news? Maybe it means after all these years that we have actual evidence that I’m a sane person!

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for thundestorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s to near 90, with variable wind. The wind could get quite strong near storms.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy with a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 50% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Sunday Night: Decreasing clouds and a bit cooler. Lows will be in the middle 60s.

Monday: Mostly clear and pleasant! Highs will be in the upper 80s with much less humidity.

Tuesday through Friday: Highs will range from the upper 80s Tuesday and Wednesday up to the lower 90s Thursday and Friday. We’ll see a slow increase in humidity toward the weekend, but rain chances will stay low. I think there could be a few showers by Friday, but elsewhere through the week things are looking good. The great news is the low temperatures. They will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s Tuesday through Thursday morning, and will only pick back up into the middle 60s by Friday morning. Enjoy it!

It looks like some fairly active thunderstorms could pop over the next few days. With that being said, our big cool down is still on tap, and it’s looking mighty nice!

Friday: Variably cloudy with a 50% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s to near 90 with a southwesterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for thunderstorms. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s.

Saturday Night: A slight chance for thunderstorms will stick around. Lows will be in the upper 60s to near 70.

Sunday: Partly sunny with a 40% chance for thunderstorms, especially before 3:00 P.M. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Monday through Thursday: Pleasant weather will be the rule. Highs will warm from the middle 80s on Monday to the lower 90s by Thursday, but the real treat will be the lows. Lows will be from 59-62 Monday and Tuesday morning. They will inch back up to around 64 for Wednesday and Thursday morning. Not bad as we enter September, which still has the capability to produce a monster heat wave. So far it doesn’t look like we’ll see one of those for at least the next ten days. No complaints here!

Nick

What a day yesterday! Those storms were really rocking from early to mid afternoon. In fact 2 inch diameter hail was reported in Elizabeth. That’s bigger than golf ball size! Today I expect a few more storms, though probably not as many as yesterday. Beyond the weekend, things are looking really nice once again. Here are you forecast details!

Thursday: Partly sunny with a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower 90s with southeasterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy and mild. Lows will be near 70.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance for thunderstorms. A few storms will produce very heavy rain and gusty wind. Highs will be near 90.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for evening thunderstorms. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Saturday: Partly sunny with a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Highs will be near 90.

Sunday through Wednesday: Another early season cold front will roll through bringing lower humidity, and much cooler nights. Highs will be from 87-90 each day with no heat index to speak of, and lows will range from the mid 60s Sunday morning to near 60 Monday through Wednesday morning. Rain chances will stay very low, but could perk back up to around 20% by Wednesday. This is awesome weather for late August and early September!

Nick

A ridiculous, blinding, driving, continuous downpour right as you go to pick your kids up from school. It’s days like this, that I’m glad I’m not the official “weatherman”! Look for more scattered big storms like this through early evening. I hope you needed some rain! Judging by my yard we’ve seen close to an inch on the southwest side of town in the last 25 minutes.

Nick

Gradual Changes on the Way

August 26, 2009

Some small changes to the daily forecast are showing up. I think enough moisture will return late in the week and weekend to provide us with a few thunderstorms. I’m also watching the evolution of what could become Tropical Storm Danny out in the Atlantic Ocean. Danny shouldn’t be a problem for us if it develops, but could be an issue for the east coast.

Wednesday: Partly sunny with a slight chance for a shower. Highs will be in the lower 90s, with southeasterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy and a bit more humid. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Thursday: Partly sunny and quite warm. Highs will be in the lower to middle 90s.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear with lows near 70.

Friday: Partly cloudy with a 30% chance for thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Saturday through Tuesday: Saturday and Sunday will each bring a 30% chance for thunderstorms. Monday and Tuesday should bring another drying trend, with less humidity. Highs will fall from the lower 90s to the upper 80s through the period, with lows dropping from near 70 to the middle 60s.

I should note that with all this wonderful weather in August, one must think that September is going to be silly hot. I have nothing to really back that up. Just a feeling. Lets hope I’m wrong!

I Like 60 Degrees

August 25, 2009

It has been too nice for words, especially before noon, over the last few days. There’s more of the same to come, with a tiny bit of rain possible in the next several days. No hurricanes for us! That’s good……… right?

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and nice once again. Highs will be near 90 with light easterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear and pleasant. Lows will be in the lower 60s.

Wednesday: Partly sunny and just a bit warmer. Highs will be from 92-94.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear with a low in the middle 60s.

Thursday: Partly sunny and a bit more humid. There’s a 20% chance for a shower. Highs will be in the lower 90s.

Friday through Monday: Isolated showers will be possible. Rain chances will be in the 20-30% range. Highs will top out around 91-94, with lows in the upper 60s to near 70. Not bad!

Time for a Monday

August 24, 2009

Ahh, Monday. It doesn’t seem quite as bad when you’re working out of your own house. It’s kind of a transition day back into working as opposed to getting thrown back in head first, and knowing there are four more days like it to follow. I’d be alright with it being Monday every day if I woke up to lows near 60 like we are this morning! Good stuff indeed.

Monday: Mostly sunny and pleasant for late August. Highs will be near 90 with northeasterly wind around 5-10 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear with lows near 60.

Tuesday: Partly sunny and still pretty nice. Highs will be in the lower 90s.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy and pleasant. Lows will be in the middle 60s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy and warm. Highs will be in the lower 90s, with a bit more humidity.

Thursday through Sunday: Low rain chances are in the forecast for most of the period. I’m looking at about a 20% coverage of rain Thursday and Friday, with a 30% chance for storms Saturday and Sunday. Highs each day will be in the lower 90s, with lows in the upper 60s to near 70. Not that bad for late August! By the end of this forecast we’ll be knocking on the door of September. Hopefully that means cooler weather will be here for good within a few weeks!

A Little Taste of Autumn

August 23, 2009

I’ll take low 60s any morning in the summer! It feels great out there to start Sunday and it looks like more of the same for the beginning of the week. Here are the non Louisiana summer like details.

Sunday: Mostly sunny and warm, with low humidity. Highs will be near 90, with northeasterly wind around 5-15 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear and almost cool! Lows will be in the lower 60s, with light northerly wind.

Monday: Mostly sunny and nice once again. Highs will be in the lower 90s.

Monday Night: Mostly clear with lows in the lower to middle 60s.

Tuesday: Partly sunny with highs in the lower 90s.

Wednesday through Saturday. An upper level low will park itself overhead. Typically that would mean plenty of rain for us, but with our presently moisture starved atmosphere, I think showers will remain isolated at best. I’ll go with a 20% chance for showers each day. We may end up getting that rain coverage into the 30% range by Saturday, as the upper low departs and gulf moisture tries to return. Highs will be in the lower to middle 90s each day, and lows will rise from the middle 60s to near 70. All in all, not bad for summer/near the peak of hurricane season in Louisiana!