Monday Forecast

July 27, 2009

What a nice morning!  Lily walked into the room at about 6:15, and I was able to get up with her, make her a little breakfast, and just sit back and enjoy her hilarious little self.  Very cool!  The forecast for the week pretty much remains the same.  Lots of rain in the beginning and middle with a little trend downward on precip chances by the end of the week.  The severe threat is here, but it’s low for each of the next three days.  The storm prediction center has us in the 5% risk zone and I see no reason to deviate from that. 

Monday:  Mostly cloudy with an 80% chance for rain and thunderstorms.  This could happen at any point during the day, but the heavy stuff will wait until the afternoon and evening. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s, with southwesterly wind around 5-10 mph. 

Monday Night:  Mostly cloudy with a 60% chance for thunderstorms.  Again, these could produce some very heavy rain at any time.  Lows will be in the lower to middle 70s, with light southerly wind around 5 mph.  The wind could be stronger near the big storms.

Tuesday:  Periods of rain and thunderstorms will continue.  The chance of rain is again 80%.  Heavy rain is again possible.  You get the drill.  It’s going to rain, and rain plenty.  Highs will struggle to make it into the middle 80s with all the clouds and rain.

Tuesday Night:  Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance for rain and thunderstorms.  Lows will be in the lower to middle 70s.

Wednesday:  Partly cloudy with a 60% chance for rain and thunderstorms.  Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Thursday through Sunday:   Partly sunny skies with a more typical summer time pattern.  Highs will be in the lower to middle 90s and there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms.  We will see more rain during the day and much less at night.  Look for a 30-50% coverage on thunderstorms each day with a few severe storms possible as we near the peak heating of each afternoon.  The severe threat this time of year is typically going to be for gusty wind, and that seems to be the main threat over the next week.  The freezing level in the atmosphere is very high up, so it’s tough for large hail to make it to the ground, and the winds in the low levels are too weak to help in the formation of tornadoes.  However, these storms will be loaded with lightning and heavy rain, so be careful just the same!  Have a great week!

 

Nick

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